Shen Wanhongyuan: the digital economy may break through again in April. The real flexible alternative assets in the medium term may be the reform of central enterprises.

[Shen Wanhongyuan: the digital economy may break upward again in April, the real flexible alternative assets in the medium term may be the reform of central enterprises]. According to Shen Wanhongyuan's strategy, the short-term market looks like July-August 2022, and the key changes in macro expectations have not yet occurred. When the rotation of potential alternative assets is carried out, the theme of the digital economy is not trend adjustment, the stock price may remain resilient and the allocation is properly balanced. Consider the conditions for effective breakthroughs in the follow-up market: 1. The follow-up focus on "Fed interest rate hikes to close trading", global risk appetite upward, technology and consumer services core assets upward, this may be the most important opportunity for subsequent index breakthroughs. two。 The release of residents' purchasing power is still the main focus of fundamentals, and the verification of short-term recovery is carried out step by step, but the concern about the impact of the decline in external demand on domestic demand has not dissipated. The outcome of the verification was not divided in April, and the key verification period was postponed. 3. Digital economy and AI industry trend verification have been further promoted. Open a new uplink band, may not need a comprehensive performance landing, only need a domestic AI application point breakthrough. In terms of structural options, we continue to emphasize that alternative assets will perform, but there are new highs in the digital economy. Real estate chain (home appliances, furniture), travel chain (aviation, tourism, hotel catering), core consumer services (liquor, beer, medical beauty) and other directions, short-term verification has bright spots + prosperity extrapolation can be expected, there are phased opportunities. With regard to the digital economy, it is better to keep the configuration "one move than one quiet". In April, the digital economy may make another breakthrough at an uncomfortable time and position. Consumption, service, advanced manufacturing in the context of weak recovery, stock price elasticity is limited, the substitution effect is also limited. The real flexible alternative asset in the medium term is the reform of central enterprises, which is expected to have repeated opportunities in 2023.